Thursday, August 28, 2014

MisterMJ NFL Preseason Thur. Aug. 28 7:00 PM ET

Once again I like Green Bay tonight , mostly because of quality depth at the skill positions. Keep in mind NFL Preseason is just an educated guess, keep the wager small if you are going to play it.

The Packers and Chiefs will both rest their starters. This leaves the Packers with two quality experienced QB back ups who have better than average experience and history to work from as both were on the team last season and both had to start with the Aaron Rodgers injury for 8 games.

It's as good as angle as anything else out there...Packers are at home...and also have quality depth on the back end of the defense. 

The Chiefs will start a quality back up QB for one quarter, but after that it drops off considerably and a rookie QB will probably play the whole 4th Quarter.

Advantage Packers

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The spread has moved to -4 at most books but that wouldn't scare me away. Just remember, this is Preseason, and it's practice for us too. Keep it small as a warm up to regular season.

We are 1-0 ATS in the Preseason taking the Packers win last week for much of the same reasons as this week.

The pick and more info included below.

Good luck 
MJ
mistermj.com
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NFL Preseason Football

Thursday, August 28

Kansas City - 7:00 PM ET Green Bay -3.5
Green Bay

1-0 100% 

Friday, August 22, 2014

MisterMJ NFL Free Pick Aug.22 8:00 PM ET on CBS

I'm not a huge fan of wagering on NFL Preseason football but I do think that you can find certain spots that are worth an educated guess or two. I'd advise being careful and treating it as a small entertainment wager to get geared up for the regular season, if you decide to wager.

I like Green Bay -7 tonight at home vs. the Oakland Raiders.

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I'm a Green Bay fan and I can tell you that I've read nearly every single practice report, news conference and tweet from Packers beat reporters and for tonight's game I think that helps.(often I think it hurts most people or we would all be great cappers of our home teams right? Usually this is not the case...too much bias perhaps)

1. The Packers are definitely using this game as their regular season dress rehearsal. They open the season with the NFL's first regular season game...a Thursday night game at Seattle. They will not play starters next week because of that. More emphasis on tonight, and all preseason the emphasis is on scoring and doing it bam bam bam down the field fast, not giving the defense a chance to substitute at all. If you stack the line they call a pass at the line of scrimmage...if you play back they hammer you with Eddy Lacy. More than ever they are attacking on offense....faster faster faster they want to run more plays per game avg compared to the past...and they will. They seem 
obsessed about it really, it's crazy. Many teams are starting to do this, but the Packers are extremely well coached and efficient about the way they are doing it this season.

2, The Packers are still installing a new quicker tempo hurry up offense which overwhelmed a pretty good Rams defense last week. The Raiders have been sliced and diced on defense and Green Bay has good reason to make sure the offense overwhelms this team as well. It's been an extreme point of emphasis...I'm telling you the Packers should be in the mood to put up points tonight. Keep this in mind all season, barring injury this team is shaping up as an absolute offensive juggernaut.
 WR 3 Boykin is worth a late round gamble in fantasy by the way. A sleeper that could end up scoring 6-8 TD's this year in my opinion.

3. Even after they bench Aaron Rodgers and the starters the Packers have two capable QB's that are truly locked in a battle for probably one spot. Flynn and Tolzien will still have Green Bays very deep skill positons to play with (6 deep or more qith quality WR's and 2nd and 3rd RB's are talented as well... and the emphasis will still be to keep the foot on the gas in my opinion.

4. GB's defense is still a question mark as they play vanillla in preseason and it's really hard to guage how good they are. That is a risk but I don't think the Raiders are deep enough or good enough to matter. I could be wrong though if GB still has a soft pass defense.

5. Lastly, it's a preseason game...who knows what could happen? It's a risk. I could be right about all of the above but some poor decisions by back up players could still give the Raiders a way to win or back door cover in the 4th quarter.

I still think it's well worth the risk on this one. Green Bay covers the -7. Its nationally covered on CBS tonight. One more reason for the better teams players to show off a little bit, can't hurt.

 Maybe another pick this weekend yet, not sure for Sat and Sunday games.

Good luck!
MJ

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Saturday, August 16, 2014

MisterMJ Preseason NFL

Just to touch base with everybody. 

We will probably have some NFL Preseason Picks next week in week #3 and week #4 based on long term historical coaching trends. I have found that weeks #3 and #4 are the most predictable as coaches use certain patterns to gear up for the season openers. 

Here is an excellent article and break down of some of the things we will be looking at:


We will be running two  NFL Systems that now go through out the playoffs, and one NCAAF System that goes through the Bowl Season. 

Sign up here for the 2014 NFL / NCAAF All inclusive Package if you haven't already:

 The NFL EMO's system in particular has 7 seasons without a losing record in any one season, and has proven itself as a steady NFL performer based on nearly 200 NFL picks.

 I believe subscribing to the service is a value based on the long term success of the NFL EMO's alone. 

EMO NFL System  (2007-2013 Record 112-83 57.43% ATS)
 NFL EMO's are picks that play on or play against strong emotional factors that I have identified using statistics and situations. The NFL season is a war of attrition and emotional factors play a huge part of weekly match ups and can be used to predict performance against the spread.

Thanks. 
See you next week for a look at NFL Preseason Week # 3

Friday, August 15, 2014

MisterMJ Free Pick & Free Offer / NFL / NCAAF Sign Up

If anyone is interested I am offering the remaining MLB Premium Picks for Free the rest of this season.

We have two Unders Systems that have been on fire this season both hitting well above +60% ATS.

A Free Pick is included at the bottom of this email, and it's the same pick as the one emailed to my MLB subscribers.

If you want the Free MLB picks just email me at mistermj@gmail.com and please put "Free MLB" in the subject line.
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Many have been asking about Football, so here it is!

Today is the start of the NFL/NCAAF sign up and I have links to the solid 2013 season from last year, and links below to sign up.

2013 -14 NFL Record and Excellent Long term history with links to documented picks :
http://mistermjrecords.blogspot.com/2014/08/mistermj-nfl-ncaaf-2013-14-records.html

2014 NFL / NCAAF thru Bowls ALL inclusive package for just $29.99 .
 Emailed direct and *Guaranteed

Sign up at this link below,  or use Paypal at mistermj.com
https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=H3GM82MPCE3XJ

*Guarantee :If we don't make money on the picks... the next season is free and I do my best to find you winners. And yes I have a history of honoring the guarantee. I've never had two losing seasons in a row in any sport so your risk is small... and the price is small for a chance at one of our blowout seasons.
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Friday Aug. 15 Free Pick 
Saber Unders Select (Uses Sabermetric stats to try to predict scoring under performance)

8:10 PM ET Toronto -       8:10 PM ET      Under 8.5       $100
Chi. White Sox

42-20-4 67.74% +$1990 +19.9 Units

Good luck!
MJ
mistermj.com
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http://mistermj.blogspot.com/

Saturday, August 9, 2014

MisterMJ MLB Free Pick Sat. Aug 9 7:05 PM ET

Today's MLB Free Pick comes from the Saber Unders Select system which is emailed to MLB subscribers.

You can sign up for my NFL/NCAAF All Inclusive Package at this link:

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MLB Free Pick Sat 8/9
Saber Unders Select 

NY Mets - 7:05 PM ET Under 7 100
Philadelphia

39 -20 -4 66.1% +$1690+16.9 Units



Friday, August 1, 2014

MisterMJ MLB Free Pick Fri Aug. 1 / NFL / NCAAF Sign UP

We have one Saber Under pick tonight, included below. The systems are both hitting well above +60% ATS.

Many have been asking about Football, so here it is!

Today is the start of the NFL/NCAAF sign up and I have links to the solid 2013 season from last year, and links below to sign up.

2013 -14 NFL Record and Excellent Long term history with links to documented picks :

2014 NFL / NCAAF thru Bowls ALL inclusive package for just $29.99 
 
Emailed direct and *Guaranteed

Sign up at this link or use Paypal at mistermj.com

*Guarantee :If we don't make money on the picks... the next season is free and I do my best to find you winners. And yes I have a history of honoring the guarantee. I've never had two losing seasons in a row in any sport so your risk is small... and the price is small for a chance at one of our blowout seasons.
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Saber Unders (Uses Sabermetric stats to try to predict scoring under performance)

Milwaukee - 8:15 PM ET Under 7 100
St. Louis

44-­28-­2 61.11% +$­1320 +$13.2 Units
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Good luck to us!
MJ
mistermj.com