Sunday, April 22, 2018

MisterMJ MLB 4/22 ....Two more Filtered Select Faves

All records assume $50 wagers for tracking and  record keeping purposes.

Yesterday another Select Fave won and the Dogs split for a small profit with a great walk off finish in Atlanta! 

Filtering the Dog system yesterday saved 2 units and gained another unit by turning it into a Select Fave by playing the other side. 

System explanation here : http://mistermj.blogspot.com/2018/04/mistermj-mlb-420-trackingthis-is-how.html

Two more Faves qualify today....no dogs made it through the filtering. 

MLB Filtered Select Faves

01:10 PM    DET -154

8:05 PM     LAD -185

Yesterday's Results 1-0-0 100% +$50 
Overall Record  2-0-0 100.00% +$100.00

MLB Filtered Select Dogs

Yesterday's Results 1-1-0 50.00% +$19.50

No Plays

Overall Results 37-53-0 41.11% +$83.00

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Saturday, April 21, 2018

MisterMJ MLB 4/21...Dogs and a Fave Today

Milwaukee won as an example of a Filtered Favorite yesterday.

 If you are interested in the method read yesterday's blog post. 

It should be noted that three of the dogs that I filtered out....won. As of right now the filtering has saved us about .2 units. So at least in the short run so far...no harm no foul either way.

I'm going to keep things very simple today.

We have two Filtered Select Dogs and another Filtered Fave. Play them or watch me track them. The choice is yours. 

MLB Filtered Select Dogs
1:05 PM TOR +145
7:10 PM ATL +139

Overall Record  36-52-0   40.91%   +$63.50

MLB Filtered Select Faves

4:05 PM  PHI -173

Record 1-0-0 100% + $50


Friday, April 20, 2018

MisterMJ MLB 4/20 Tracking...This Is How Methods & Systems Are Built

No plays today for the Filtered Select Dog System Tracking. (Which means Dogs +128 to +180 are the "Select" part of the equation....and the Filtering means they can't be against a top 20 pitcher...AND they are filtered out for hitting performance. Season, L7 days and Home vs. Away)

Toronto , Miami,  San Fran and Washington were all filtered out as Select Dogs. (Toronto , Miami and San Fran filtered out for a poor hitting parameter....and Washington is going against top 20 pitcher Kershaw...so they are a No Play) 

 So far, the filtering has saved about 3.5 units that would have been losses. Good to keep an eye on that.

This next part may get confusing....I am illustrating how to build handicapping systems. If you have an interest I think you can work your way through the basic idea. I wish somebody would have helped me with this stuff 15 years ago. 

 I had to figure it all out from scratch...with nothing to go on. In the long run..it has helped me... to think "out of the box" and come up with ideas that nobody else uses.

Building a System of Filtered Faves
For somebody that loves to build systems and do my own handicapping...it's natural for me to take a look at these four Select Dogs that were filtered OUT as non plays....doesn't it now make sense to look at those match ups and see if we want to play any of the favorites? 

I mean ...after all....we are already saying we think there are reasons NOT to play the dogs that got filtered out.

This is how methods and systems are built. 

So....Milwaukee -153 does qualify as a Filtered Favorite. I'm not telling you to play it...I'm showing you how I came up with it...and I'm going to track the record. Let's see how they do.

Milwaukee is playing a Select Dog (Miami) that got filtered OUT as a non play...(That gets our interest....right?)

And they have hitting parameters that are in the top 10 of the league. (Last 7 and Home) So in effect we want to play ON Favorites that are in the top 10 of hitting parameters vs a team in the bottom 10 of hitting parameters. Jim Barnes says this is more important than pitching. Maybe ...maybe not...but playing around with it like this will teach us things. 

Now keep in mind...this is a very raw system...it's mainly for illustration purposes...but it can also be played as a down and dirty DIY type of handicapping that "might" very well show some profit over the whole season. It might also take some tweaking...mostly I'm trying to give you some idea of the process. 

Anyway...I hope somebody finds this interesting...or useful...or at least gives some insight into following me in the future. Some of the things that I do are based on things like this. 
---
Today's MLB Filtered Select Dogs
4/20

Nothing qualifies today.

Overall Record 36-52-0 40.91% +$63.50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor

Yesterday's Results 0-1-0 0.00% -$50.00 
---
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Thursday, April 19, 2018

MisterMJ MLB 4/19 ....Filters...and a Filtered Afternoon Play

I am tracking "Select" MLB Dogs in April here, and on Twitter to provide a service to readers. 

You can play them...watch me track them...whatever. In the long run these MLB dogs have shown value in April.  Not every season, but many. 

It's a good way to start the new season while we wait for things to settle in...in my opinion anyway.

Anyone can do this and it can be fun to do for baseball betting fans.

For the rest of April I am filtering the Select Dogs (+128 to +180 is what the "Select" means).

I'm filtering out playing against the top 20 pitchers. Most pitchers have a few games under their belt now...and every season there are some pitchers that are just "ON" ...so why go against somebody that is having one of those God like years when he just has nasty stuff?

The other filter is related to hitting. Jim Barnes swears hitting is more important than pitching. At least in some ways I think he is correct...although...like I just said ...there is no sense in going against the top 20 pitchers...of which some of those guys will be nearly un-hittable this season and have a career year.

So...today I filtered OUT : Toronto , Miami and San Fran.

This leaves us with just one pick again today....and it's Seattle.

Yesterday's filtering saved us close to a half a unit....I will keep an eye on the teams I filter out and make sure that it seems to be working.

I will do these filtered plays for the rest of April....then I will switch to a different system and provide plays for the rest of the season.


Yesterday's Results 0-1-0 0.00% -$50.00

Today's Filtered MLB Early Season Select Dog Trackers

3:40 PM SEA +163

Overall Record 36-51-0 41.38% +$113.50


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Wednesday, April 18, 2018

MisterMJ MLB 4/18...Adding MLB Filters

For the rest of April I am going to filter out some teams based on hitting and pitching. We have enough stats to go on now...I don't think it makes sense to completely ignore current performance once we have some stats to go on. 

I showed you how to do this....so you can do it yourself if you don't want the filtered plays. You can read the explanation at the link on how and why to play Select Early Season MLB Dogs https://mistermj.blogspot.com/2018/03/mistermj-opening-day-mlb-and-things-are.html

So...today I filtered OUT... Cin , San Fran and Seattle are NOT PLAYs...based on Filtering for pitching/hitting. 

That leaves us with just one play tonight. 

If you have questions I will help you. Go to mistermj.com and there is contact information there. I will answer your questions. 

Do what you want...watch my tracking....play them how you want to...or follow my filtering.

It's up to you...I think it makes sense to filter them down now. 

Yesterday's Results 2-6-0 25.00% -$163.50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor

 Today's MLB Filtered Select Early Season Dog Trackers
4/18

10:10 PM SD +155

Overall Record  36-50-0  41.86% +$163.50 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor

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Tuesday, April 17, 2018

MisterMJ MLB Tues. 4/17....Bryce Harper Magic !

Last night we had  some magic happen with the Nats...it's very enjoyable to play a system like this and have something like that happen with a +160 Dog to ensure a winning night.

Harper hits broken-bat HR, helps Nats rally past Mets 8-6
The Associated Press
11h ago

NEW YORK (AP) The shear power of Bryce Harper was startling. The late comeback by the Washington Nationals? Yep, that was shocking, too.

Harper hit an eye-popping, broken-bat homer early, then grounded a key single during a six-run surge in the eighth inning that sent the Nationals past the New York Mets 8-6 Monday night.

''Barreled it pretty good,'' Harper said. ''It just broke and kept going.''

Today's MLB Early Season Select Dog Tracking
Tues. 4/17

6:37 PM KC +175

7:05 PM COL +130

7:10 PM MIN +180

7:40 PM CIN +137

10:05 PM CHW +155

10:07 PM BOS +143

10:10 PM SD +172

10:10 PM SEA +157

Overall Record 34-44-0 43.59% +$327.00 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor

Yesterday's Result 1-1-0 50% +$30.00 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor.

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Monday, April 16, 2018

MisterMJ MLB Mon. 4/16

We had a couple of games PPD yesterday and one loss. 

Internet down today...big time...running late here. 

Yesterday 0-1-0 0.00% -$50.00 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor

Today's MLB Early Season Select Dog Trackers
07:10 PM WAS +160

07:10 PM TEX +165

Overall  33-43-0 43.42% +$297.00 For a Fifty Dollar Bettor