Friday, July 31, 2009

2 GM RL Dog Chasers Friday July 31

Two Friday starts ...this is all that qualified for the weekend.

Good luck!

I always use Betjam odds at the time of my posting.


Friday starts

Houston @ St. Louis -1.5 +110

Boston @ Baltimore ML +105

Overall series 32-4 +28.21 Units(this is an amended record removing the June 18 non posted plays. I believe this record is accurate but I still need to double check it).
==================================
How to play the 2 Game RL Chaser System

1). The home team is "chased" for a winning wager in the first two games of a series.
Important!
We only play GM 2 if GM 1 is a losing wager.

2). Wagering is simple. Determine your unit size, keep in mind that losing chases will cost you approximately -3 units or a little more.

3). 1 unit is wagered on GM 1 and if necessary, 2 units are wagered on GM 2.

If the GM 1 wager wins, the chase stops and we bank the profit for that match up.

4). If the GM 2 wager loses we stop the chase losing approximately -3 units on that chase.

In a nutshell, we are picking the best performing home teams vs the worst performing away teams and expecting the home team to win one of it's first two wagers, which will give us a profit by using the best combination of Run Line, or ML odds as described above with a one unit and two unit progression.

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Computer Baseball Wednesday July 29

A three pack tonight...hopefully this thing heats up soon.

Keep it small...it's a volume system and unproven.

Good luck!


MLB New Computer Picks


Wednesday, July 29

Game Score Status Pick Amount
Colorado - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -135 100
NY Mets -


Washington - 8:05 PM ET Washington +180 100
Milwaukee -


Philadelphia - 9:40 PM ET Arizona +144 100
Arizona -



1-3-0 25.00% -$274

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Computer Baseball Tuesday July 28

Two for Tuesday...

Good luck!

MLB "New Computer Baseball"


Tuesday, July 28

Game Score Status Pick Amount
NY Yankees - 7:08 PM ET NY Yankees -133 100
Tampa Bay -


Atlanta - 7:10 PM ET Atlanta -113 100
Florida -



1-1-0 50.00% -$28

Monday, July 27, 2009

2 GM RL Dog Chasers Monday July 27

One series starts tonight. Nothing else will qualify in this set of games.

Good luck!

Monday start

Detroit @ Texas -1.5 +140 GM 1 for 1 unit

Overall series 34-5 +29.81 units.

=================================
How to play the 2 Game RL Chaser System

1). The home team is "chased" for a winning wager in the first two games of a series.
Important!
We only play GM 2 if GM 1 is a losing wager.

2). Wagering is simple. Determine your unit size, keep in mind that losing chases will cost you approximately -3 units or a little more.

3). 1 unit is wagered on GM 1 and if necessary, 2 units are wagered on GM 2.

If the GM 1 wager wins, the chase stops and we bank the profit for that match up.

4). If the GM 2 wager loses we stop the chase losing approximately -3 units on that chase.

In a nutshell, we are picking the best performing home teams vs the worst performing away teams and expecting the home team to win one of it's first two wagers, which will give us a profit by using the best combination of Run Line, or ML odds as described above with a one unit and two unit progression.

Sunday, July 26, 2009

Computer Baseball / RL Wrap Up Sunday July 26

"New" Computer Baseball Picks

One computer pick for Sunday.

This is a new system, and I usually only run it on the off days of the Run Line system. It is meant to be more of a volume method (but only 2 picks so far) and I suggest wagering relatively small on these.


Good luck!

MLB

Sunday, July 26

Game Score Status Pick Amount
Florida - 4:10 PM ET LA Dodgers -128 100
LA Dodgers -


Record 1-0-0 +$100
=================================
***2 Game RL Chasers***

Saturday night Colorado wins 8-2 for the Run Line win...and another sweep of all 4 series.

It's been just over a month...how are we doing?

4-0 on this series +5.4 units.

4-0 on the last series. +4.45 units.


11 series winners in a row since the Florida series lost GM 2 on July 17.


Overall series 34-5 (87.17%) +29.81 units since this system started June 19.


Next series start on Monday.

Saturday, July 25, 2009

2 GM RL Dog Chasers Saturday July 25

Another great night for the system on Friday. Angels, Astros, and Yankees are winners.

This series will go in the books with a profit...no matter what happens with the Colorado game.

Still kickin some serious ass here.

On Saturday, Colorado goes to game 2...everything else is a winner with this set.

Please note the Angels winning in Game 2 of the set nets +1.7 units...this is one of the reasons we are doing so well and why the units won seem better than it should be.

With the Run Lines we are raking major dog money... so far.

Saturday

SF @ Colorado -1.5 +125 GM 2 for 2 units.

Good luck!
==========
How to play the 2 Game RL Chaser System

1). The home team is "chased" for a winning wager in the first two games of a series.
Important!
We only play GM 2 if GM 1 is a losing wager.

2). Wagering is simple. Determine your unit size, keep in mind that losing chases will cost you approximately -3 units or a little more.

3). 1 unit is wagered on GM 1 and if necessary, 2 units are wagered on GM 2.

If the GM 1 wager wins, the chase stops and we bank the profit for that match up.

4). If the GM 2 wager loses we stop the chase losing approximately -3 units on that chase.

In a nutshell, we are picking the best performing home teams vs the worst performing away teams and expecting the home team to win one of it's first two wagers, which will give us a profit by using the best combination of Run Line, or ML odds as described above with a one unit and two unit progression.

Friday, July 24, 2009

2 GM RL Dog Chasers Friday July 24

The Angels go to game 2...everything else is game 1 Friday series starts.

Good luck!


Minnesota @ LA Angels -1.5 +135 GM 2 for 2 units

Fridays starts

Mets @ Houston ML +120 GM 1 for 1 unit

SF @ Colorado -1.5 +165 GM 1 for 1 unit

Oakland @ NY Yankees -1.5 +100 GM 1 for 1 unit

Overall series 30-5 +24.41 units


P.S. I am aware that blog did not email the picks yesterday...it's been reset. Hopefully it works today. Thats all I can do, it is a Google service.

=============
How to play the 2 Game RL Chaser System

1). The home team is "chased" for a winning wager in the first two games of a series.
Important!
We only play GM 2 if GM 1 is a losing wager.

2). Wagering is simple. Determine your unit size, keep in mind that losing chases will cost you approximately -3 units or a little more.

3). 1 unit is wagered on GM 1 and if necessary, 2 units are wagered on GM 2.

If the GM 1 wager wins, the chase stops and we bank the profit for that match up.

4). If the GM 2 wager loses we stop the chase losing approximately -3 units on that chase.

In a nutshell, we are picking the best performing home teams vs the worst performing away teams and expecting the home team to win one of it's first two wagers, which will give us a profit by using the best combination of Run Line, or ML odds as described above with a one unit and two unit progression.

Thursday, July 23, 2009

WNBA Thursday, July 23

One tonight...and it's on ESPN...I'm sure we will all be watching. ;-)

WNBA Thursday, July 23

Game Score Status Pick Amount
Chicago - 7:00 PM ET Over 156.5 500
Washington -



2-2-050.00%-$100

2 GM RL Dog Chasers Thursday July 23

Very nice...another sweep of the last 4 team set for +4.45 units.

One chase starts tonight for a Thursday start...should have more on Friday.

Good luck!

Thursday starts

Minnesota @ LA Angels -1.5 +140 GM 1 for 1 unit


Overall series 30-5 +24.41 units
============================
How to play the 2 Game RL Chaser System

1). The home team is "chased" for a winning wager in the first two games of a series.
Important!
We only play GM 2 if GM 1 is a losing wager.

2). Wagering is simple. Determine your unit size, keep in mind that losing chases will cost you approximately -3 units or a little more.

3). 1 unit is wagered on GM 1 and if necessary, 2 units are wagered on GM 2.

If the GM 1 wager wins, the chase stops and we bank the profit for that match up.

4). If the GM 2 wager loses we stop the chase losing approximately -3 units on that chase.

In a nutshell, we are picking the best performing home teams vs the worst performing away teams and expecting the home team to win one of it's first two wagers, which will give us a profit by using the best combination of Run Line, or ML odds as described above with a one unit and two unit progression.

Tuesday, July 21, 2009

2 GM RL Dog Chasers Tuesday July 21

Another great night with 3 out of 4 chase winners in GM 1's +2.35 units for the day, but we still have the Yankees on Tuesday in GM 2 for the 2 unit chase.

Nothing wrong with banking the units and waiting for the next sets ...but for record keeping we will play the system here.

Tuesday

Baltimore at NY Yankees -1.5 +105 GM 2 for 2 units.

There are no other series that qualify in this set of games.
==========================
How to play the 2 Game RL Chaser System

1). The home team is "chased" for a winning wager in the first two games of a series.
Important!
We only play GM 2 if GM 1 is a losing wager.

2). Wagering is simple. Determine your unit size, keep in mind that losing chases will cost you approximately -3 units or a little more.

3). 1 unit is wagered on GM 1 and if necessary, 2 units are wagered on GM 2.

If the GM 1 wager wins, the chase stops and we bank the profit for that match up.

4). If the GM 2 wager loses we stop the chase losing approximately -3 units on that chase.

In a nutshell, we are picking the best performing home teams vs the worst performing away teams and expecting the home team to win one of it's first two wagers, which will give us a profit by using the best combination of Run Line, or ML odds as described above with a one unit and two unit progression.

Monday, July 20, 2009

2 GM RL Dog Chasers Monday July 20

Four good looking match ups for Monday.

Good luck!

Monday starts

SF @ ATL -1.5 +115 GM 1 for 1 unit

Boston @ Texas ML -109 GM 1 for 1 unit

Balt @ NY Yankees -1.5 -110 GM 1 for 1 unit

Arizona @ Colorado -1.5 +130 GM 1 for 1 unit


Overall series 26-5 +19.96 units
==========================
How to play the 2 Game RL Chaser System

1). The home team is "chased" for a winning wager in the first two games of a series.
Important!
We only play GM 2 if GM 1 is a losing wager.

2). Wagering is simple. Determine your unit size, keep in mind that losing chases will cost you approximately -3 units or a little more.

3). 1 unit is wagered on GM 1 and if necessary, 2 units are wagered on GM 2.

If the GM 1 wager wins, the chase stops and we bank the profit for that match up.

4). If the GM 2 wager loses we stop the chase losing approximately -3 units on that chase.

In a nutshell, we are picking the best performing home teams vs the worst performing away teams and expecting the home team to win one of it's first two wagers, which will give us a profit by using the best combination of Run Line, or ML odds as described above with a one unit and two unit progression.

Friday, July 17, 2009

2 GM RL Dog Chasers Friday July 17

Braves beat the Run Line Thursday night for +1.10 units.

Florida lost...so we go onto GM 2 for 2 units with the Florida series.

Philly @ Florida +118 2 units GM 2

Friday series starts

Detroit @ Yankees -1.5 -115 1 unit GM 1

Baltimore @ Chicago White Sox -1.5 +130 1 unit GM 1

Good luck!

If you are confused, instructions and FAQ are available below. Yesterdays instructions did not print out the emails.
=====================
How to play the 2 Game RL Chaser System

1). The home team is "chased" for a winning wager in the first two games of a series.
Important!
We only play GM 2 if GM 1 is a losing wager.

2). Wagering is simple. Determine your unit size, keep in mind that losing chases will cost you approximately -3 units or a little more.

3). 1 unit is wagered on GM 1 and if necessary, 2 units are wagered on GM 2.

In a nutshell, we are picking the best performing home teams vs the worst performing away teams and expecting the home team to win one of it's first two wagers, which will give us a profit by using the best combination of Run Line, or ML odds as described above with a one unit and two unit progression.

===================================

FAQ

1). How do you pick which teams to wager on?
Performance and efficiency stats are used to filter and pick the match ups that will (in theory) provide the best opportunity for a Run Line win. (Favorite wins by 2 runs or more). Never be afraid to use the Run Line, these are specifically picked to win on the Run Line (in theory of course). However it makes sense to use dog or small fave ML's when available, just because it's a better chance for a winning wager.

2). Why use Run Lines? Why not just play them all on the ML?

Because this is a chase system that progresses from 1 to 2 unit wagers, using Run line odds helps us keep our risk and bankroll management reasonable. Capping our losses as near to 3 units as possible is one of our goals to avoid killing our bankroll with a bad run of losses.

In other words we need the dog odds whenever possible by using Run Lines or the rare ML dog, or very small favorites on the ML <-115.

3). I'm confused...I thought this was a Run Line system but I see you are using ML odds for some games. Why?

In theory, most of our wagers will be on heavy favorites because we are filtering for the best at home vs the worst away match ups. However, because of pitching match ups we will sometimes have dog odds or very small favorite odds available on the ML. We are not locked into just using Run Lines...we want the best chance to win our wager...AND have reasonable or plus odds.

If we can get + dog ML odds or small favorite odds <-115 ML on a team that we think is over performing vs it's competition we can just use the ML. No need to lessen our chances with the Run Line in that situation. We'll take the ML when we can get it...but it should be rare, because we are filtering for the very best favorites at home.

4). Does it make a difference if it's a 2 game, 3 game or 4 game series?

No.

5). Ok...Ok...I think I get it. What is the easiest way to play this system?

1. Determine your unit size...multiply your unit x 3 to make sure you can stomach a chase loss that large. Adjust to what feels comfortable for you and your bankroll.

2. Look for the matchups posted here...keep in mind there are Thur/Friday and Mon /Tues starts to different 3 and 4 game series.

3. Play Gm 1 for 1 unit. If it wins, bank it and play the others or wait for the next series matchups.

4. If the GM 1 wager loses, play GM 2 of the series for 2 units.

5. Play ML odds up to -115...if it's higher than that switch to the Run Line. (Most cases you will be on the Run Line). 6. If Gm 2 loses, stop the chase for that match up and take your loss.

7. Repeat as necessary.

6). Does that cover it?

There are a few situations I didn't cover that will eventually come up.

If we cap ML's at -115 we should also cap RL's at -115. The Yankees and late season favorites will become an issue. We'll have to figure that out as we go. It might be wise to just eat the GM1 losses when GM2 odds are just too high... RL > -115.
================
Questions or discussion are also available at the Rx Forum or post a question to this blog in the comments.
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=688516

Thursday, July 16, 2009

New System Picks / 2 GM RL Dog Chasers

This is a new system I have been tracking at the Rx.
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?p=6821190#post6821190

Please read and follow the directions. It's very very simple once you do it a few times.

All you really need from me are the matchups, which I will post here for automatic email.

If you are still confuse post a question at the blog, or reach me at the link above for discussion.

Good luck! This is a very fun system, so far. I'm hoping it will replace the baseball computer picks. MJ
=======================================
Thursday starts

Philadelphia @ Florida -1.5 +170 GM 1

NY Mets @ Atlanta -1.5 +110 GM 1

Overall series 23-4 +19.56 units

=======================================

How to play the 2 Game RL Chaser System

1). The home team is "chased" for a winning wager in the first two games of a series.
Important!
We only play GM 2 if GM 1 is a losing wager.

2). Wagering is simple. Determine your unit size, keep in mind that losing chases will cost you approximately -3 units or a little more.

3). 1 unit is wagered on GM 1 and if necessary, 2 units are wagered on GM 2.

If the GM 1 wager wins, the chase stops and we bank the profit for that match up.

4). If the GM 2 wager loses we stop the chase losing approximately -3 units on that chase.

In a nutshell, we are picking the best performing home teams vs the worst performing away teams and expecting the home team to win one of it's first two wagers, which will give us a profit by using the best combination of Run Line, or ML odds as described above with a one unit and two unit progression.

===================================

FAQ

1). How do you pick which teams to wager on?
Performance and efficiency stats are used to filter and pick the match ups that will (in theory) provide the best opportunity for a Run Line win. (Favorite wins by 2 runs or more). Never be afraid to use the Run Line, these are specifically picked to win on the Run Line (in theory of course). However it makes sense to use dog or small fave ML's when available, just because it's a better chance for a winning wager.

2). Why use Run Lines? Why not just play them all on the ML?

Because this is a chase system that progresses from 1 to 2 unit wagers, using Run line odds helps us keep our risk and bankroll management reasonable. Capping our losses as near to 3 units as possible is one of our goals to avoid killing our bankroll with a bad run of losses.

In other words we need the dog odds whenever possible by using Run Lines or the rare ML dog, or very small favorites on the ML <-115.

3). I'm confused...I thought this was a Run Line system but I see you are using ML odds for some games. Why?

In theory, most of our wagers will be on heavy favorites because we are filtering for the best at home vs the worst away match ups. However, because of pitching match ups we will sometimes have dog odds or very small favorite odds available on the ML. We are not locked into just using Run Lines...we want the best chance to win our wager...AND have reasonable or plus odds.

If we can get + dog ML odds or small favorite odds <-115 ML on a team that we think is over performing vs it's competition we can just use the ML. No need to lessen our chances with the Run Line in that situation. We'll take the ML when we can get it...but it should be rare, because we are filtering for the very best favorites at home.

4). Does it make a difference if it's a 2 game, 3 game or 4 game series?

No.

5). Ok...Ok...I think I get it. What is the easiest way to play this system?

1. Determine your unit size...multiply your unit x 3 to make sure you can stomach a chase loss that large. Adjust to what feels comfortable for you and your bankroll.

2. Look for the matchups posted here...keep in mind there are Thur/Friday and Mon /Tues starts to different 3 and 4 game series.

3. Play Gm 1 for 1 unit. If it wins, bank it and play the others or wait for the next series matchups.

4. If the GM 1 wager loses, play GM 2 of the series for 2 units.

5. Play ML odds up to -115...if it's higher than that switch to the Run Line. (Most cases you will be on the Run Line). 6. If Gm 2 loses, stop the chase for that match up and take your loss.

7. Repeat as necessary.

6). Does that cover it?

There are a few situations I didn't cover that will eventually come up.

If we cap ML's at -115 we should also cap RL's at -115. The Yankees and late season favorites will become an issue. We'll have to figure that out as we go. It might be wise to just eat the GM1 losses when GM2 odds are just too high... RL > -115.

Just because we had early success, don't "POUND" it now. It might fall apart, who knows?

But it is a lot of fun to play, with quite a bit of action and excitement with large RL dogs and GM 2 double wagers that spice it up for reasonable risk.

Keep your units reasonable and I think we might really have a fun system here.

Wednesday, July 15, 2009

WNBA Computer Pick July 15

One pick for today...it's an early game. Good luck!

WNBA
Wednesday, July 15

Game Score Status Pick Amount
Chicago - 1:00 PM ET Over 144.5 500
Indiana -




Record
1-2-0 33.33% -600